Sunday 25 June 2023

MAGIC IN THE AIR?

Dick Pountain /Idealog 341/ 07 Dec 2022 01:08

I’ve been writing columns for a slightly scary 50+ years now, and while 40 of those were for impeccably rational technical magazines like this one, 10 of them weren’t. I started off writing in 1970 for the ‘underground’ newspaper Frendz, which like its contemporaries Oz and IT was devoted to the hippy counterculture: its content comprised sex, drugs, rock&roll and anarchism, liberally embellished with a welter of the newly fashionable paranormal, the wacky, the ‘spiritual’, the Indian gurus, flying saucers, telepathy and teleportation. Having only recently left my Imperial College chemistry course (in those days equivalent to 4-years-hard-labour) I was unsympathetic to such piffle, and still am. I vividly remember arguing with a colleague who claimed that the Russians had perfected teleportation, and asking him whether they still manufactured fork-lift trucks…

I mention all this now because I’m detecting a disturbing renaissance of Magical Thinking, this time from the most improbable directions of Cosmology and Particle Physics rather than Eastern religion. Magical Thinking, the belief that pure thought can directly change things in the material world, has of course been around for as long as Homo sapiens (and probably longer) because it fulfils two important psychological needs: it can relieve anxiety and also satisfy a desire to avoid effort. If you’re scared of thunder, invent Angry Gods to explain it, then invent rituals to placate them and make them stop it. Invent spells to do hard stuff like keeping tigers at bay.

The current resurgence of Magical Thinking has two main sources, sci-fi movies – upon which the current generation of science nerds were all raised – and the spookiness of nature revealed by quantum mechanics. Even back during those hippy days, some of my better-read opponents could point to Heisenberg’s Uncertainty Principle and say “even your science admits it doesn’t know everything”. That same impulse now emerges as the argument that quantum entanglement, which Einstein disliked and labelled “spooky action at a distance”, might provide an explanation for telepathy. Another similar impulse baulks at the cosmic speed-limit of 3x108m/sec and wants to travel like the Starship Enterprise to far off galaxies by using wormholes in space/time. Such ideas may be precariously based on real science, but then get carelessly abstracted, exaggerated and sensationalised by social media’s insatiable need for exciting content. YouTube brims over with lavishly animated videos that supposedly illustrate them.

What triggered this particular column was a headline that scientists have “created a wormhole inside a quantum computer” that even made the mainstream newspapers. Wikipedia’s entry on wormholes is a masterpiece of tiptoeing. They are “speculative structures [...] consistent with the general theory of relativity, but whether wormholes actually exist remains to be seen”. Less charitably, they’re sci-fi-leaning mathematicians playing with the equations. My view of simulating the universe on a quantum computer with 53 qubits is barely more charitable.

Richard Feynman was a great hero to me (over a recent weekend I watched all 8 hours

of his QCD lectures for fun) and even he admitted that entanglement, though true, embarrassed him. Recent work on quantum gravity may be relieving some of that embarrassment. It appears that entangled particles can’t exchange information, hence preserving the speed limit, and the expansion of the universe may refute the notion that quantum events are time-reversible – there is progression from past to future, as required by thermodynamics, even at quantum level.

Quantum weirdness does affect our everyday world in an immensely significant way. The electrons that form the chemical bonds between atoms in the proteins we’re made of are quantum particles, and they must obey Pauli’s Exclusion Principle – they can’t be forced into atoms where they don’t belong, which is what makes matter solid. It’s what stops me walking right through this wall out into the street. Without it the universe would be populated entirely by ghosts that can pass right through each other, which is of course what the Magical Thinkers would like to be true. So blame Pauli for disenchanting the world.

However unpalatable it may be, we live in the macro-world which obeys the rules of thermodynamics and gravity. We need to eat, if we trip we fall, get over it. If you need to move that palette with a ton of breeze blocks on it, no amount of wishing or spell-casting is going to get it done. A fork-lift truck will get it done. That doesn’t end the matter though: is that going to be a petrol or an electric fork-lift truck? That’s the sort of decision we need to start making without any further delay to avoid catastrophe, and Magical Thinking is just one of the many ways we have to avoid making these decisions (decamping to Mars is another).  

[Dick Pountain quite liked the sex, drugs and rock&roll part]




 

LOSING THE PLOT

Dick Pountain /Idealog 340/ 10 Nov 2022 09:53

I live in Camden Town, close to The Regent’s Canal down which I can walk in 10 minutes to King’s Cross. The area around this great railway station used to be squalid and dilapidated but a couple of decades ago renovations began that would turn it into what was briefly dubbed “The Knowledge District”. The British Museum in Bloomsbury was already close, so they decided to move their famous library to a new building at King’s Cross (one that King Charles III so famously disliked). Soon followed King’s Place, an avant garde glass pile containing concert halls, art galleries and the Guardian newspaper, then The Francis Crick Institute, a giant spiky armadillo of a building housing Europe’s premier biochemistry labs (and one of the runners in the Covid vaccine race). 

Then digital tech arrived. Google – sorry Alphabet – started its new European HQ which is almost finished as I write, a vast edifice the size of a city block (on a par with Fiat’s Turin HQ) with a whole park on its roof. Facebook – sorry Meta – pitched in with its own block-sized building, only just open, in that area between the canal and York Way which seems to sprout a new mini-skyscraper every time I walk though its Manhattan-lite main street. Deep Mind has a smart office there, as has a Tasmanian craft brewery that dispenses £6 pints from shining steel vats behind its football-pitch-sized bar. 

Ten years ago I might have imagined this as a preview of a hi-tech future but 2022 has rapidly clouded any such vision. In the last few weeks (November 2022) Facebook’s – sorry Meta’s – share price has crashed and the firm is laying off 11,000 employees; Elon Musk follows up his deranged take-over of Twitter by laying off another 4,000; most of the crypto currencies have been progressively crashing in value. A recent UK survey investigated public perceptions of various digital product categories like live streaming (94% approve and use), instant messaging (63%), text-to-speech and voice recognition (52%), but such approval drops off sharply for emerging technologies like Web3 (11%) and Internet of Things at 16%. Most had never heard of, or are bored by, Web3 (89%) and the Metaverse (84%), the virtual technologies Zuckerberg has bet his company on. 

Behind all the iPhone, Oculus and Alexa there remains a real-world, material economy which makes real things (like iPhones, Oculi and Alexas) using real people who once have real jobs, wages and pensions. The vast wealth that builds these opulent offices comes at a cost to that real world. The smartest minds are deployed to avoid paying the taxes that contribute to its upkeep: Amazon displaces high street shops; Google and Twitter displace local newspapers; Uber displaces taxi drivers; AirBnB hotels and so on and on. Newness and convenience have so far protected them from public wrath, but the metaverse suddenly becomes a revealing metaphor for the way the owners of these tech giants have detached themselves from the real economy. They can live in a retarded-adolescent sci-fi and gaming world where colonising Mars, or the pursuit of physical immortality can seem like good ways to spend money. Unfortunately for those fantasies the real world is where silicon chips are made.Along comes the Covid pandemic, Putin’s invasion of Ukraine reviving the Cold War and a 

semi-collapse of global supply chains. The USA once had a symbiotic relationship with China where cheap Chinese labour made cheaper products for the USA, while modernising the Chinese economy and reducing Chinese poverty. That relationship is turning sour, which unfortunately leaves most of the world’s semiconductor fabrication plants within China’s geographical sphere of influence. President Biden hastily tries to shut the stable door by decreeing the building of more fabs in the continental USA, but that will take a lot of time and money. And a Chinese invasion of Taiwan would be a third whammy, leaving US tech industry in real trouble. 

Don’t get me wrong. I’m not denying the enormous achievements of the digital giants. The internet, the search engine, the smartphone, the video stream, even cryptocurrencies have changed the world already, and although in many cases basic technologies were paid for by state agencies – universities and military research –  no state could ever have achieved the astonishing global infrastructures that sprang out of Silicon Valley. I’m not suggesting that merely taxing them more heavily would magically solve our looming economic problems. A massive change of mindset is required to induce cooperation between states and digital giants to deploy this semi-miraculous infrastructure for solving problems on this planet, rather than on Mars or the metaverse. If that doesn’t happen soon, those shiny new office blocks in King’s Cross might end up being renamed The Museum Of Globalisation…

[Dick Pountain is as fond of a pint as the next man, but six quid!?]


 



   

SOCIAL UNEASE

Dick Pountain /Idealog 350/ 07 Sep 2023 10:58 Ten years ago this column might have listed a handful of online apps that assist my everyday...